{"id":40349,"date":"2025-11-13T19:27:14","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T19:27:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/963media.com\/en\/?p=40349"},"modified":"2025-11-13T19:27:14","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T19:27:14","slug":"balancing-justice-and-strategy-assads-fate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/963media.com\/en\/13\/11\/2025\/balancing-justice-and-strategy-assads-fate\/","title":{"rendered":"Balancing Justice and Strategy: Assad\u2019s Fate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Political analysts believe that the relationship between Syria\u2019s interim leadership and Russia is undergoing a delicate test, one that balances the pursuit of justice for citizens with the preservation of strategic interests. The stance regarding the deposed former president Bashar al-Assad, who was granted asylum in Moscow on humanitarian grounds, poses a dual challenge: on one hand, the Syrian people\u2019s demand for accountability, and on the other, the need to maintain strategic cooperation with Russia, a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Interim Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa has reaffirmed the Syrians\u2019 right to demand that Assad be brought to justice, signaling the necessity of prosecuting the fugitive former regime leader, who fled to Russia following the collapse of his regime in December of last year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In an interview with <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Washington Post<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> last Tuesday, al-Sharaa stated that \u201cBashar al-Assad\u2019s case is a troubling issue for Russia.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>Syrian Rights and Strategic Interests<\/b><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In an analysis of the current developments, political analyst Firas Allawi told <\/span><b>+963 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">that the demand to extradite Assad is \u201ca legitimate right of the Syrian government,\u201d but noted that it could be used as a bargaining chip to strengthen other strategic files. He emphasized that \u201cthe Syrian president understands the difficulty of convincing Russia to hand Assad over, but he could use these demands to gain leverage in other negotiations, thereby reshaping relations between Damascus and Moscow.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Allawi added that \u201cMoscow will not extradite Bashar al-Assad except under exceptional circumstances. Therefore, Damascus may benefit from redefining its relationship with Russia, especially as Moscow seeks to maintain the stability of the current Syrian government and avoid losing it to American pressure.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He also pointed out that Syria sees \u201ca possibility to absorb and channel public anger in ways that serve its political interests and international relations, using various files that could advance a path toward justice aligned with its strategic orientation both domestically and internationally.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From the perspective of the transitional government, President al-Sharaa reiterated that the Syrians\u2019 right to demand justice remains a priority: \u201cThe case of Bashar al-Assad is troubling for Russia, and our relationship with them is still at an early stage. We will preserve our right as Syrians to demand that Assad be brought to justice.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Al-Sharaa added: \u201cWe were at war with Russia for ten years, and it was a hard and exhausting war. They declared my death several times\u2026 We need Russia because it is a permanent member of the Security Council, and we need its voice to support us in certain matters. We also have strategic interests with them, and we do not wish to push Russia into taking alternative or adverse positions toward Syria.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Read also: <a href=\"https:\/\/963media.com\/en\/08\/11\/2025\/where-is-syrias-foreign-policy-heading\/#\">Where Is Syria\u2019s Foreign Policy Heading?<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>Moscow\u2019s Position<\/b><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From Moscow\u2019s perspective, the Russian leadership has affirmed its commitment to developing relations with the new Syrian leadership independently, even as the Assad issue remains a diplomatic challenge.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated: \u201cWe are building our relations with the new Syrian leadership. There was recently a very successful and fruitful visit by the Syrian president to Moscow, during which he held extensive talks with President Putin. We hope to continue developing bilateral relations between Russia and Syria independently.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In another statement, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov revealed unprecedented details concerning former president Bashar al-Assad, noting that Moscow had intervened to protect and transfer him to Russia. \u201cHe decided to retire from politics completely\u2026 Russia supports the Syrian people,\u201d Lavrov said, affirming the strength of relations with transitional President Ahmad al-Sharaa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From Moscow, academic and political analyst Mahmoud al-Afandi argued that any attempt to extradite Assad is \u201cimpossible under the Russian constitution, which protects humanitarian refugees. Any such attempt would require amending the constitution and holding a public referendum that could take years, making this scenario virtually impossible.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Al-Afandi told <\/span><b>+963<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that \u201cRussia considers the Syrian civil war a closed chapter, and believes that all parties, including Russia itself, bear responsibility for Syrian bloodshed. Russia\u2019s military and political presence in Syria depends on the Syrian government\u2019s will, and Moscow does not interfere in internal matters, including transitional justice. Its role is limited to military and diplomatic presence within the framework defined by the Syrian government.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He continued: \u201cMoscow is not concerned with internal transitional justice in Syria and views all Syrian parties as responsible for the blood spilled during the war. Its role is confined to maintaining its military and diplomatic presence as determined by the Syrian government.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">International law experts confirm that Damascus has legal tools at its disposal, whether through bilateral agreements with Russia, such as the 2022 extradition treaty\u2014or through referral of the case to the United Nations Security Council, which in turn could refer war crimes to the International Criminal Court, even though neither Russia nor Syria has signed the Rome Statute.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In this context, analysts emphasize that the Assad file will remain a key point of negotiation between Damascus and Moscow, representing an ongoing test between Syria\u2019s national interests, citizens\u2019 rights, and broader international strategic considerations.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Political analysts believe that the relationship between Syria\u2019s interim leadership and Russia is undergoing a delicate test, one that balances the pursuit of justice for citizens with the preservation of strategic interests. The stance regarding the deposed former president Bashar al-Assad, who was granted asylum in Moscow on humanitarian grounds, poses a dual challenge: on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":108,"featured_media":40350,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"0","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"left-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"float","share_float_style":"share-normal","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"g:i a d\/m\/Y","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"5","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_post_related":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":"A Delicate Balance Between Justice and Strategy"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"jnews_post_split":{"post_split":[{"template":"1","tag":"h2","numbering":"asc","mode":"normal","first":"0","enable_toc":"0","toc_type":"normal"}]},"footnotes":""},"categories":[430,19],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[394],"class_list":["post-40349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-insights","category-slider"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.2 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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