{"id":39898,"date":"2025-10-08T08:36:39","date_gmt":"2025-10-08T08:36:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/963media.com\/en\/?p=39898"},"modified":"2025-10-13T19:26:47","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T19:26:47","slug":"syrias-march-10-deal-falters-as-damascus-and-sdf-clash-over-decentralisation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/963media.com\/en\/08\/10\/2025\/syrias-march-10-deal-falters-as-damascus-and-sdf-clash-over-decentralisation\/","title":{"rendered":"Syria\u2019s March 10 Deal Falters as Damascus and SDF Clash over Decentralisation"},"content":{"rendered":"

Syria\u2019s political scene is witnessing renewed tension after the announcement of a meeting in Damascus between the Commander of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) Mazloum Abdi and Syria\u2019s Interim president, Ahmed Al-Sharaa. The meeting, aimed at reviving the long-stalled March 10 Agreement, comes after months of deadlock caused by deep political and security rifts.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The encounter unfolds amid a surge of shifting political and field dynamics across Syria, reflecting fragile balances between local, regional, and international actors. The implementation of the March 10 Agreement between the interim government and the US-backed SDF remains blocked under intense Turkish pressure and ongoing disputes over decentralisation, governance, and the shape of Syria\u2019s future state.<\/span><\/p>\n

Following a meeting that brought together Abdi, US envoy Tom Barrack, and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper to discuss mechanisms for stability and the prevention of renewed conflict, alongside intermittent clashes in Aleppo\u2019s Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafieh districts, the Al-Sharaa\u2013Abdi meeting marks a key juncture. It serves as both a test of the two sides\u2019 willingness to move forward and a measure of their capacity to overcome the accumulated barriers since the agreement\u2019s signing.<\/span><\/p>\n

While observers describe the meeting as an effort to rebuild trust, others see it as merely symbolic, given the absence of international guarantees and the persistence of divisions over decentralisation, military integration, and the future of self-administration in north and east Syria.<\/span><\/p>\n

The Turkish Factor<\/b><\/h2>\n

Dr Udai Ramadan, a political scientist and former senior member of the Italian Communist Party, attributes the failure of the March 10 Agreement to \u201cAnkara\u2019s determination to block its implementation.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cTurkey effectively controls the political levers of Syria\u2019s transitional phase,\u201d he told <\/span>+963<\/b>, \u201cimposing its decisions, dictating agreements, and shaping the interim presidency\u2019s direction. There are no concrete mechanisms to ensure the parties adhere to the agreement as long as Turkey rejects it outright. The United States, too, bears responsibility, it is not interested in the agreement\u2019s success, seeking instead a share of the Syrian pie.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Dr Zara Saleh, a researcher in peace and conflict studies based in the United Kingdom, agrees that Turkish influence remains the primary obstacle. \u201cAnkara holds the strongest sway over the de facto authorities in Syria and seeks to impose its agenda on the peace process, linking it to the disarmament of Kurdish forces,\u201d he said. \u201cTurkey insists that the SDF is merely an extension of the PKK, which is inaccurate. This aligns, however, with Damascus\u2019s centralising tendencies that perpetuate authoritarianism.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Saleh adds that the Syrian leadership itself bears equal blame. \u201cAfter the March 10 signing, the constitutional declaration practically annulled several of the agreement\u2019s provisions, concentrating powers in the president\u2019s hands. Implementation is possible only if Damascus abandons its sectarian and ideological rigidity; an unlikely scenario. The sustainable solution lies in a decentralised or federal system, internationally and regionally supported, as the Syrian state has long been a hostage to external bargains.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Related: Tense Calm in Northern Syria: Aleppo Clashes Reflect Regional Power Struggles<\/a>
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

Integration or Absorption?<\/b><\/h2>\n

Beyond Turkish and American roles, the debate over integrating the SDF into the Syrian state remains central. Saleh notes that the agreement\u2019s clauses were interpreted unilaterally by Al-Sharaa\u2019s government, especially concerning Kurdish rights. \u201cThe constitutional declaration ignored the question of Kurdish national recognition and reduced the idea of integration to individual enlistment within the state army rather than recognising the SDF as a distinct corp.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

When asked whether the Ministry of Defence could realistically absorb the SDF, Ramadan responded sharply: \u201cWhich army are we talking about? The same one dismantled since December 2024? If Turkish-trained forces represent the so-called national army, then integration is impossible.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Saleh concurs: \u201cThe Ministry\u2019s forces cannot be called a national army in any scientific or institutional sense. These are factions aligned with religious jurisprudence, loyal to Ankara, and opposed to any notion of partnership.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

The Decentralisation Divide<\/b><\/h2>\n

Ramadan emphasises that the dispute over decentralisation is less about the concept itself and more about widespread misconceptions. \u201cMany, including within the transitional authority, misunderstand decentralisation. It\u2019s about facilitating citizenship and simplifying governance, not dividing the country into cantons or confederations. Yet suspicion dominates public and political attitudes alike.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Saleh adds: \u201cImplementing decentralisation is precisely what Ankara and Damascus fear. Unless Kurdish rights are constitutionally recognised, the agreement will never materialise. The self-administration issue concerns not only the Kurds but all components of northern Syria.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

He warns that Damascus\u2019s leadership, emboldened after Al-Sharaa\u2019s recent visit to New York, is attempting to project international backing to impose its own agenda, echoing past atrocities in the coastal and southern regions. \u201cThe core dispute is ideological. This leadership is building a sectarian, exclusionary system that cannot coexist with genuine citizenship or democracy. Syria will never return to a fully centralised state.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Saleh also notes that the regime\u2019s attempt to revive Baath-era Local Administration Law No. 107 is doomed to fail. \u201cAreas like Suwayda, Quneitra, and Daraa are effectively demilitarised and under Israeli protection, decentralisation has already become a de facto reality.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

On the Edge of Fragmentation<\/b><\/h2>\n

Saleh openly blames the Damascus authorities for Syria\u2019s fragmentation. \u201cUnless the government reconsiders its policies, the country is heading toward partition or a patchwork of competing international zones of influence.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

He dismisses suggestions of appointing Abdi or other SDF figures to senior positions. \u201cThe issue is not about posts but about power-sharing and governance. Symbolic appointments will not solve the problem. The Kurds and the SDF seek a federal framework dividing authority between the centre and the regions, not token inclusion.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Ramadan agrees: \u201cSuch appointments would only serve to legitimise policies without real substance. Turkey would never accept Abdi in a senior role, given its hostility towards the Kurdish people in Syria, Iraq, and even within its own borders.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Read also: Firas Alawi to+963: Syria Requires Neither Extreme Radicalism Nor Excessive Secularism<\/a>
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

Beyond Cosmetic Solutions<\/b><\/h2>\n

Saleh concludes that any sustainable solution must address the state\u2019s structure and constitution itself. \u201cThe existing government cannot build a professional, apolitical army. Its ideology of loyalty and exclusion runs deeper than any extremist group. What we are seeing is the rise of a Sunni Islamist emirate in Damascus and other regions.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

He predicts that European governments will ultimately back a model of expanded decentralisation close to federalism. \u201cThis framework would also suit Turkey\u2019s interests: integrating the SDF into nominal state institutions while maintaining real control elsewhere. Yet the deep state in Ankara understands that the region\u2019s post-Iran transformation will strengthen Kurdish agency. Federal entities, including a Kurdish one stretching from Afrin to D\u00earik, are becoming inevitable.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Saleh and Ramadan agree that a comprehensive military solution is impossible. \u201cNeither Damascus nor Ankara has the capability or the international approval for a full-scale offensive. What we\u2019ll see are limited skirmishes by Turkish-backed militias such as the Hamzat and Amshat groups, but no decisive war in north and east Syria.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Syria\u2019s political scene is witnessing renewed tension after the announcement of a meeting in Damascus between the Commander of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) Mazloum Abdi and Syria\u2019s Interim president, Ahmed Al-Sharaa. The meeting, aimed at reviving the long-stalled March 10 Agreement, comes after months of deadlock caused by deep political and security rifts. The […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":107,"featured_media":39899,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"0","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"left-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"float","share_float_style":"share-normal","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"g:i a d\/m\/Y","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"5","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_post_related":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":"Analysts tell +963 that Turkish pressure and conflicting visions of statehood are obstructing Syria\u2019s March 10 Agreement, with decentralisation emerging as the only viable solution.\u00a0"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"jnews_post_split":{"post_split":[{"template":"1","tag":"h2","numbering":"asc","mode":"normal","first":"0","enable_toc":"0","toc_type":"normal"}]},"footnotes":""},"categories":[430,19],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[390],"class_list":["post-39898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-insights","category-slider"],"yoast_head":"\nSyria\u2019s March 10 Deal Falters as Damascus and SDF Clash over Decentralisation - 963+<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Syria\u2019s March 10 Agreement faces collapse amid Turkish influence, military fragmentation, and disputes over decentralisation and Kurdish rights.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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